May 04, 2024 6:41 AM CDT

Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 5/4/2024

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 5-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 3-14 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Jared Jones is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Austin Gomber. Jared Jones has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Austin Gomber has a 30% chance of a QS. If Jared Jones has a quality start the Pirates has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 14.5 and he has a 76% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 61%. In Austin Gomber quality starts the Rockies win 59%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Jared Jones who averaged 3.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Austin Gomber who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 68% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Colorado RockiesRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-14, 18% -909Record at Home5-8, 38% -341Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-0, 100% 152VS Colorado Rockies0-1, 0% -100Colorado Rockies
vs Team Under .5007-16, 30% -566vs Team Under .5005-6, 45% -36Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog3-14, 18% -909Record As Home Favorite2-5, 29% -350Pittsburgh Pirates
When Austin Gomber Starts2-4, 33% -120When Jared Jones Starts1-3, 25% -231Colorado Rockies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Colorado RockiesRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-8, 20% -448Record at Home5-8, 38% -341Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-0, 100% 152VS Colorado Rockies0-1, 0% -100Colorado Rockies
vs Team Under .5004-11, 27% -463vs Team Under .5000-1, 0% -100Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog2-8, 20% -448Record As Home Favorite2-5, 29% -350Pittsburgh Pirates
When Austin Gomber Starts1-4, 20% -259When Jared Jones Starts1-3, 25% -231Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado RockiesRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-9, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-46, 41% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Austin Gomber STARTS1-5, 17% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jared Jones STARTS0-4, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-12, 29% -608 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-4, 69% +464 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-5, 50% +92 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-4, 69% +464

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 13-4, 76% +203 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-5, 62% +177 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 7-3, 70% +42 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-5, 62% +177

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-4, 67% + 360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-4, 67% + 360

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