May 04, 2024 6:41 AM CDT

Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals 5/4/2024

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 6-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 1-14 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Lance Lynn is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Erick Fedde. Lance Lynn has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Erick Fedde has a 27% chance of a QS. If Lance Lynn has a quality start the Cardinals has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 65%. In Erick Fedde quality starts the White Sox win 60%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Lance Lynn who averaged 3.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Erick Fedde who averaged 3.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago White SoxRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-14, 7% -1224Record at Home6-7, 46% -248St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-1, 0% -100VS Chicago White Sox1-0, 100% 34St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .5003-1, 75% 431vs Team Under .50010-6, 62% 183Chicago White Sox
Record As Road Underdog1-14, 7% -1224Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -156St. Louis Cardinals
When Erick Fedde Starts2-4, 33% -132When Lance Lynn Starts4-2, 67% 211St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago White SoxRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-14, 7% -1224Record at Home6-7, 46% -248St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-1, 0% -100VS Chicago White Sox1-0, 100% 34St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .5003-4, 43% 131vs Team Under .5006-4, 60% 46Chicago White Sox
Record As Road Underdog1-14, 7% -1224Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -156St. Louis Cardinals
When Erick Fedde Starts2-3, 40% -32When Lance Lynn Starts3-2, 60% 24St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago White SoxRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-7, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-7, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-36, 54% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Erick Fedde STARTS2-4, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Lance Lynn STARTS3-3, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 9-6, 60% +305 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-5, 62% +233 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 9-6, 60% +118 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-5, 62% +233

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 14-1, 93% +548 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-6, 54% -83 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 14-1, 93% +548 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-6, 54% -83

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 7-8, 47% -180 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 7-8, 47% -180 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150

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