The Minnesota Twins are 7-6 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 11-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Pablo Lopez is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Brennan Bernardino. Pablo Lopez has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brennan Bernardino has a 53% chance of a QS. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Twins has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.5 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 55%. In Brennan Bernardino quality starts the Red Sox win 64%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Carlos Correa who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-6, 65% 518 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% -101 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-0, 100% 91 | Minnesota Twins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-12, 33% -558 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-0, 100% 632 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-5, 58% 317 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% -53 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Brennan Bernardino Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Pablo Lopez Starts | 3-3, 50% -97 | Minnesota Twins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 222 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% -101 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-0, 100% 91 | Minnesota Twins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-11, 35% -541 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-0, 100% 632 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 231 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% -53 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Brennan Bernardino Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Pablo Lopez Starts | 2-3, 40% -180 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-8, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Brennan Bernardino STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Pablo Lopez STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 8-9, 47% -158 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -234 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-5, 50% -44 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -234
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-10, 41% -452 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-5, 62% -23 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 4-6, 40% -246 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-5, 62% -23
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 8-7, 53% + 30 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250
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