May 04, 2024 6:41 AM CDT

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5/4/2024

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 10-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 8-7 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Tyler Glasnow is forecasted to have a better game than Braves starter Reynaldo Lopez. Tyler Glasnow has a 41% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Reynaldo Lopez has a 26% chance of a QS. If Tyler Glasnow has a quality start the Dodgers has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.4 and he has a 56% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 63%. In Reynaldo Lopez quality starts the Braves win 65%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Tyler Glasnow who averaged 3.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Reynaldo Lopez who averaged 3.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 52% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta BravesRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-7, 53% -157Record at Home10-8, 56% -308Atlanta Braves
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-1, 0% -100VS Atlanta Braves1-0, 100% 85Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better7-9, 44% -488vs Team .500 or Better9-7, 56% -203Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% -7Record As Home Favorite10-8, 56% -308Atlanta Braves
When Reynaldo Lopez Starts3-1, 75% 79When Tyler Glasnow Starts6-1, 86% 194Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta BravesRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% 31Record at Home4-6, 40% -385Atlanta Braves
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-1, 0% -100VS Atlanta Braves1-0, 100% 85Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -382vs Team .500 or Better10-9, 53% -352Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% -7Record As Home Favorite4-6, 40% -385Atlanta Braves
When Reynaldo Lopez Starts3-0, 100% 179When Tyler Glasnow Starts3-1, 75% 59Atlanta Braves

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta BravesRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-9, 36% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME12-5, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-7, 22% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-35, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-40, 50% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Reynaldo Lopez STARTS1-3, 25% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tyler Glasnow STARTS4-3, 57% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 8-7, 53% -510 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-12, 33% -387 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-4, 60% -315 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 4-6, 40% -119

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 9-6, 60% +58 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 8-10, 44% -619 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 7-3, 70% +216 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 4-6, 40% -385

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-7, 59% + 230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260

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