The Detroit Tigers are 4-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 4-5 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Reese Olson has a 54% chance of a QS and Seth Lugo a 51% chance. If Reese Olson has a quality start the Tigers has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 60%. If Seth Lugo has a quality start the Royals has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Buddy Kennedy who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Vinnie Pasquantino who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-5, 44% -106 | Record at Home | 4-7, 36% -390 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% 9 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% 23 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -12 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-5, 38% -296 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 3-2, 60% 17 | When Reese Olson Starts | 1-3, 25% -184 | Kansas City Royals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-58, 28% -1981 | Record at Home | 37-44, 46% -366 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 3-10, 23% -608 | VS Kansas City Royals | 10-3, 77% 420 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 31-46, 40% -831 | vs Team Under .500 | 47-30, 61% 1536 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 22-57, 28% -1949 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-9, 57% -96 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 13-13, 50% -476 | When Reese Olson Starts | 9-6, 60% 366 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-6, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-5, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-6, 25% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-35, 55% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Seth Lugo STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Reese Olson STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -8 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-3, 73% +528 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 49-32, 60% +1176 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 42-39, 52% +23
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-4, 56% -73 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -204 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 59-22, 73% +955 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 41-40, 51% -942
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 41-29, 59% + 910 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 34-37, 48% -670
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