The St. Louis Cardinals are 4-6 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 4-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Kyle Gibson has a 40% chance of a QS and Jordan Montgomery a 39% chance. If Kyle Gibson has a quality start the Cardinals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 53%. If Jordan Montgomery has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Kyle Gibson who averaged 3.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Jordan Montgomery who averaged 3.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 78% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -370 | Record at Home | 4-6, 40% -268 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 2-2, 50% -50 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-2, 50% -9 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-6, 60% 1 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-9, 31% -396 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-5, 29% -294 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -176 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Jordan Montgomery Starts | 1-0, 100% 110 | When Kyle Gibson Starts | 1-3, 25% -211 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 47-44, 52% 892 | Record at Home | 36-45, 44% -1489 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-3, 50% 59 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 3-3, 50% 18 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team Under .500 | 44-28, 61% 728 | vs Team .500 or Better | 45-56, 45% -600 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 31-29, 52% 1283 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-29, 42% -1580 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Jordan Montgomery Starts | 14-23, 38% -1125 | When Kyle Gibson Starts | 20-14, 59% 455 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-4, 64% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-43, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-36, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Montgomery STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Gibson STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-7, 36% -454 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-4, 60% +131 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 49-42, 54% +193 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 42-39, 52% +169
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-3, 73% +271 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-5, 50% -103 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 47-44, 52% -1003 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 42-39, 52% -557
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 40-40, 50% -400 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 33-37, 47% -770
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