March 29, 2024 6:33 AM CDT

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros 3/28/2024

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The Houston Astros are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Nestor Cortes. Framber Valdez has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nestor Cortes has a 43% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 69%. In Nestor Cortes quality starts the Yankees win 61%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

New York YankeesRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-0 No GamesRecord at Home0-0 No GamesN/A
VS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better0-0 No Gamesvs Team .500 or Better0-0 No GamesN/A
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite0-0 No GamesN/A
When Nestor Cortes Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Framber Valdez Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road40-41, 49% -241Record at Home40-47, 46% -2263New York Yankees
VS Houston Astros5-2, 71% 425VS New York Yankees2-5, 29% -322New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better47-46, 51% -148vs Team .500 or Better48-48, 50% -419New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog21-23, 48% 268Record As Home Favorite37-45, 45% -2357New York Yankees
When Nestor Cortes Starts8-4, 67% 301When Framber Valdez Starts20-18, 53% -462New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER AT HOME0-0 No GamesN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON49-37, 57% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Nestor Cortes STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 0-0 Houston Astros Home Games: 0-0 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 41-40, 51% +762 Houston Astros Home Games: 41-46, 47% -795

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 0-0 Houston Astros Home Games: 0-0 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 44-37, 54% -126 Houston Astros Home Games: 44-43, 51% -1331

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 0-0 Houston Astros Home Games: 0-0 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 38-36, 51% -160 Houston Astros Home Games: 43-29, 60% + 1110

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