March 26, 2024 8:20 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets 3/28/2024

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The Milwaukee Brewers are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jose Quintana has a 23% chance of a QS and Freddy Peralta a 27% chance. If Jose Quintana has a quality start the Mets has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 47%. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 53% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 63%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jose Quintana who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Jackson Chourio who averaged 5.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-0 No GamesRecord at Home0-0 No GamesN/A
VS New York Mets0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better0-0 No Gamesvs Team .500 or Better0-0 No GamesN/A
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesN/A
When Freddy Peralta Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Jose Quintana Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road43-38, 53% 742Record at Home40-41, 49% -894Milwaukee Brewers
VS New York Mets5-2, 71% 444VS Milwaukee Brewers2-5, 29% -330Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team Under .50040-33, 55% -139vs Team .500 or Better43-59, 42% -1778Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite14-16, 47% -630Record as Home Underdog12-15, 44% -193New York Mets
When Freddy Peralta Starts15-15, 50% -420When Jose Quintana Starts5-8, 38% -375New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDNew York MetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER AT HOME0-0 No GamesN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-46, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-46, 40% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 0-0 New York Mets Home Games: 0-0 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 39-42, 48% -88 New York Mets Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1271

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 0-0 New York Mets Home Games: 0-0 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 37-44, 46% -1690 New York Mets Home Games: 43-38, 53% -543

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 0-0 New York Mets Home Games: 0-0 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 42-33, 56% + 570 New York Mets Home Games: 36-34, 51% -140

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