The Toronto Blue Jays are 8-11 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 5-9 at home. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. MacKenzie Gore has a 22% chance of a QS and Alek Manoah a 23% chance. If MacKenzie Gore has a quality start the Nationals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 43%. If Alek Manoah has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 67%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is MacKenzie Gore who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Alek Manoah who averaged 3.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 79% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-11, 42% -303 | Record at Home | 5-9, 36% -169 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% -44 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% 50 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-6, 50% -119 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -144 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-3, 50% -77 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-8, 38% -69 | Washington Nationals |
| When Alek Manoah Starts | 0-0 No Games | When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 2-4, 33% -197 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% -234 | Record at Home | 4-7, 36% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% -44 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% 50 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-13, 46% -310 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -144 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-3, 40% -159 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-7, 36% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| When Alek Manoah Starts | 0-0 No Games | When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 2-3, 40% -97 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-10, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-42, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-37, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Alek Manoah STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN MacKenzie Gore STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-14, 26% -897 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-5, 64% +243 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-9, 25% -552 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-5, 55% -64
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 8-11, 42% -501 Washington Nationals Home Games: 8-6, 57% -147 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-8, 33% -489 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-4, 64% -23
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-8, 53% + 20 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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