The Houston Astros are 7-11 at home this season and the Seattle Mariners are 7-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Bryce Miller is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Hunter Brown. Bryce Miller has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hunter Brown has a 31% chance of a QS. If Bryce Miller has a quality start the Mariners has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 52%. In Hunter Brown quality starts the Astros win 73%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 73% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Julio Rodriguez who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% -97 | Record at Home | 7-11, 39% -584 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Houston Astros | 1-1, 50% 24 | VS Seattle Mariners | 1-1, 50% -14 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-5, 64% 219 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-18, 28% -1254 | Seattle Mariners |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -378 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-9, 44% -384 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Bryce Miller Starts | 4-2, 67% 187 | When Hunter Brown Starts | 1-5, 17% -435 | Seattle Mariners |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% -97 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -217 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Houston Astros | 1-1, 50% 24 | VS Seattle Mariners | 1-1, 50% -14 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-5, 64% 219 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-16, 33% -996 | Seattle Mariners |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -378 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -17 | Houston Astros |
| When Bryce Miller Starts | 4-1, 80% 287 | When Hunter Brown Starts | 1-4, 20% -335 | Seattle Mariners |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 3-9, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-10, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-9, 25% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-35, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-37, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Miller STARTS | 0-5, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Brown STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 9-5, 64% +243 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-11, 39% -494 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 9-5, 64% +243 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-5, 55% -9
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 10-4, 71% +411 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-9, 50% -211 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 10-4, 71% +411 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-4, 64% +156
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 10-2, 83% + 780 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-9, 47% -190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 10-2, 83% + 780 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
