May 05, 2024 10:58 AM CDT

San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies 5/5/2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 6-12 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Taijuan Walker is forecasted to have a better game than Giants starter Logan Webb. Taijuan Walker has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Logan Webb has a 33% chance of a QS. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Phillies has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 60%. In Logan Webb quality starts the Giants win 66%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Taijuan Walker who averaged 3.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 74% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Logan Webb who averaged 3.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 79% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-12, 33% -593Record at Home13-5, 72% 281Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-2, 0% -200VS San Francisco Giants2-0, 100% 126Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better5-10, 33% -516vs Team .500 or Better5-1, 83% 424Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite2-3, 40% -132Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 117Philadelphia Phillies
When Logan Webb Starts4-3, 57% -24When Taijuan Walker Starts1-0, 100% 120Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-7, 36% -340Record at Home10-2, 83% 297Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-2, 0% -200VS San Francisco Giants2-0, 100% 126Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better5-6, 45% -246vs Team .500 or Better5-1, 83% 317Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite2-3, 40% -132Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesPhiladelphia Phillies
When Logan Webb Starts4-1, 80% 176When Taijuan Walker Starts1-0, 100% 120San Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-7, 61% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-9, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Logan Webb STARTS3-4, 43% OverOVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 10-8, 56% +244 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 12-6, 67% +238 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-5, 55% +136 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-2, 83% +405

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 10-8, 56% -8 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 12-6, 67% +69 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-5, 55% +43 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-2, 83% +297

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 14-4, 78% + 960 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-7, 59% + 230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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