The Arizona Diamondbacks are 8-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 10-6 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Matt Waldron. Ryne Nelson has a 25% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Waldron has a 18% chance of a QS. If Ryne Nelson has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 66%. In Matt Waldron quality starts the Padres win 68%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ryne Nelson who averaged 3.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Matt Waldron who averaged 3.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-6, 62% 418 | Record at Home | 8-10, 44% -471 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-0, 100% 199 | VS San Diego Padres | 0-2, 0% -200 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-11, 50% -240 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-7, 59% 17 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-3, 67% 433 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-6, 54% -167 | San Diego Padres |
| When Matt Waldron Starts | 1-5, 17% -436 | When Ryne Nelson Starts | 1-3, 25% -214 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-6, 60% 273 | Record at Home | 4-7, 36% -375 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-0, 100% 199 | VS San Diego Padres | 0-2, 0% -200 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-7, 53% -63 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-6, 54% -4 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 288 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-5, 38% -271 | San Diego Padres |
| When Matt Waldron Starts | 1-4, 20% -336 | When Ryne Nelson Starts | 1-2, 33% -114 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-8, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-11, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-8, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-39, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-48, 42% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matt Waldron STARTS | 0-5, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryne Nelson STARTS | 0-4, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-11, 31% -497 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 4-14, 22% -1066 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-11, 27% -642 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-8, 27% -549
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-10, 38% -592 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-10, 44% -513 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-9, 40% -492 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 4-7, 36% -417
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-9, 40% -390 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-7, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-9, 36% -490 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160
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