The New York Mets are 7-7 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 10-9 at home. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Luis Severino is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Ryan Pepiot. Luis Severino has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ryan Pepiot has a 53% chance of a QS. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Mets has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 57%. In Ryan Pepiot quality starts the Rays win 63%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Richie Palacios who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 74% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| New York Mets | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% 238 | Record at Home | 10-9, 53% -119 | New York Mets |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS New York Mets | 2-0, 100% 155 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-7, 50% -104 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-10, 55% -85 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-7, 46% 147 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-6, 57% -9 | New York Mets |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 2-4, 33% -255 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 3-3, 50% -76 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| New York Mets | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% 238 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 66 | New York Mets |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS New York Mets | 2-0, 100% 155 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-7, 50% -104 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-4, 50% -40 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-7, 46% 147 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-3, 62% 76 | New York Mets |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 2-3, 40% -155 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 3-2, 60% 24 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-5, 64% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 12-7, 63% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-5, 64% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-38, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-29, 64% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS | 2-4, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-7, 50% +122 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-13, 32% -768 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-7, 50% -48 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 2-10, 17% -836
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-7, 50% -156 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 8-11, 42% -446 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-7, 50% -156 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 3-9, 25% -674
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-9, 25% -690 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-12, 33% -720 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-9, 25% -690 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480
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