May 05, 2024 10:58 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs 5/5/2024

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-5 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 11-4 at home. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Javier Assad has a 29% chance of a QS and Freddy Peralta a 30% chance. If Javier Assad has a quality start the Cubs has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Javier Assad who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Freddy Peralta who averaged 3.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 79% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-5, 72% 866Record at Home11-4, 73% 495Milwaukee Brewers
VS Chicago Cubs1-1, 50% 6VS Milwaukee Brewers1-1, 50% -24Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better8-8, 50% -18vs Team .500 or Better8-9, 47% -21Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite4-2, 67% 141Record as Home Underdog5-1, 83% 464Chicago Cubs
When Freddy Peralta Starts7-0, 100% 605When Javier Assad Starts3-3, 50% -21Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-5, 67% 553Record at Home8-4, 67% 355Milwaukee Brewers
VS Chicago Cubs1-1, 50% 6VS Milwaukee Brewers1-1, 50% -24Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better7-7, 50% -3vs Team .500 or Better8-7, 53% 153Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite3-2, 60% 45Record as Home Underdog5-1, 83% 464Chicago Cubs
When Freddy Peralta Starts6-0, 100% 509When Javier Assad Starts2-3, 40% -70Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-8, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-7, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-46, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-37, 54% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS4-3, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Javier Assad STARTS2-4, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-8, 56% +23 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-9, 40% -331 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -194 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-6, 50% -31

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-8, 56% +91 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-6, 60% +2 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -222 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-6, 50% -138

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -180 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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