The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-5 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 11-4 at home. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Javier Assad has a 29% chance of a QS and Freddy Peralta a 30% chance. If Javier Assad has a quality start the Cubs has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Javier Assad who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Freddy Peralta who averaged 3.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 79% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 13-5, 72% 866 | Record at Home | 11-4, 73% 495 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Chicago Cubs | 1-1, 50% 6 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-1, 50% -24 | Milwaukee Brewers |
vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% -18 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-9, 47% -21 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record as Road Favorite | 4-2, 67% 141 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-1, 83% 464 | Chicago Cubs |
When Freddy Peralta Starts | 7-0, 100% 605 | When Javier Assad Starts | 3-3, 50% -21 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 10-5, 67% 553 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 355 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Chicago Cubs | 1-1, 50% 6 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-1, 50% -24 | Milwaukee Brewers |
vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% -3 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% 153 | Chicago Cubs |
Record as Road Favorite | 3-2, 60% 45 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-1, 83% 464 | Chicago Cubs |
When Freddy Peralta Starts | 6-0, 100% 509 | When Javier Assad Starts | 2-3, 40% -70 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-8, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-6, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-46, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Javier Assad STARTS | 2-4, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-8, 56% +23 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-9, 40% -331 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -194 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-6, 50% -31
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-8, 56% +91 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-6, 60% +2 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -222 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-6, 50% -138
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -180 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
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