May 05, 2024 10:58 AM CDT

Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals 5/5/2024

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 6-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 2-14 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Garrett Crochet. Matthew Liberatore has a 30% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Garrett Crochet has a 23% chance of a QS. If Matthew Liberatore has a quality start the Cardinals has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 66%. In Garrett Crochet quality starts the White Sox win 66%. He has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Matthew Liberatore who averaged 3.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Garrett Crochet who averaged 3.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 52% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago White SoxRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-14, 12% -1060Record at Home6-8, 43% -348St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals1-1, 50% 64VS Chicago White Sox1-1, 50% -66Chicago White Sox
vs Team Under .5004-4, 50% 295vs Team Under .5008-6, 57% 25Chicago White Sox
Record As Road Underdog2-14, 12% -1060Record As Home Favorite5-6, 45% -256St. Louis Cardinals
When Garrett Crochet Starts1-6, 14% -428When Matthew Liberatore Starts0-0 No GamesSt. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago White SoxRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-13, 13% -960Record at Home5-8, 38% -415St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals1-1, 50% 64VS Chicago White Sox1-1, 50% -66Chicago White Sox
vs Team Under .5004-4, 50% 295vs Team Under .5006-7, 46% -225Chicago White Sox
Record As Road Underdog2-13, 13% -960Record As Home Favorite4-6, 40% -323St. Louis Cardinals
When Garrett Crochet Starts0-5, 0% -500When Matthew Liberatore Starts0-0 No GamesSt. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago White SoxRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-7, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-8, 43% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-7, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-36, 54% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Garrett Crochet STARTS1-6, 14% OverOVER-UNDER IN Matthew Liberatore STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 10-6, 62% +469 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 9-5, 64% +397 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 9-6, 60% +221 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-5, 62% +330

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 14-2, 88% +448 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-7, 50% -183 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 13-2, 87% +387 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-7, 46% -250

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 7-9, 44% -290 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 7-8, 47% -180 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60

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