The Baltimore Orioles are 10-4 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 9-9 at home. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Nick Lodolo has a 35% chance of a QS and Dean Kremer a 34% chance. If Nick Lodolo has a quality start the Reds has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.6 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 46%. If Dean Kremer has a quality start the Orioles has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 65%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Nick Lodolo who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Dean Kremer who averaged 3.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-4, 71% 449 | Record at Home | 9-9, 50% -186 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 2-0, 100% 180 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-2, 0% -200 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-3, 73% 290 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-14, 33% -645 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-0, 100% 288 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-5, 58% 11 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Dean Kremer Starts | 3-3, 50% -51 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 4-0, 100% 322 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-4, 71% 449 | Record at Home | 7-8, 47% -201 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 2-0, 100% 180 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-2, 0% -200 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-3, 73% 372 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-15, 29% -930 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-0, 100% 288 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -4 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Dean Kremer Starts | 2-3, 40% -115 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 4-0, 100% 322 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-8, 50% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-33, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Dean Kremer STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Lodolo STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 9-5, 64% -180 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 11-7, 61% +249 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 9-5, 64% -180 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 9-6, 60% +234
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 8-6, 57% +123 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 14-4, 78% +756 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 8-6, 57% +123 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 12-3, 80% +741
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-8, 43% -280 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-8, 43% -280 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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