The Los Angeles Dodgers are 11-8 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 8-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. James Paxton has a 21% chance of a QS and Max Fried a 20% chance. If James Paxton has a quality start the Dodgers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.7 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 68%. If Max Fried has a quality start the Braves has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is James Paxton who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Max Fried who averaged 3.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-8, 50% -257 | Record at Home | 11-8, 58% -248 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Atlanta Braves | 2-0, 100% 145 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -441 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-6, 54% -167 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-6, 54% -150 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Max Fried Starts | 5-1, 83% 185 | When James Paxton Starts | 4-1, 80% 141 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% -69 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -325 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Atlanta Braves | 2-0, 100% 145 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -463 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-9, 55% -292 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-3, 62% 38 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Atlanta Braves |
| When Max Fried Starts | 4-1, 80% 110 | When James Paxton Starts | 3-1, 75% 92 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-9, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-5, 72% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-35, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-40, 50% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN James Paxton STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 8-8, 50% -610 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-13, 32% -487 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-5, 55% -415 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 4-7, 36% -219
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 10-6, 62% +118 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 9-10, 47% -559 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 8-3, 73% +276 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -325
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 9-6, 60% + 240 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-8, 56% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370
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