Expect a close game with the Houston Texans winning 49.0% of simulations, and the Indianapolis Colts 51.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Houston Texans commit fewer turnovers in 34.0% of simulations and they go on to win 76.0% when they take care of the ball. The Indianapolis Colts wins 66.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Joe Mixon is averaging 108.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30.0% chance) then he helps his team win 82%. Anthony Richardson is averaging 287.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (43.0% chance) then he helps his team win 61%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Houston Texans | ATS RECORD | Indianapolis Colts | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 0-1-0 | All Games | 1-0-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Road Games | 00-10-00 | Home Games | 1-0-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| When Favored | 0-1-0 | When Underdog | 1-0-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Division Opp | 0-1-0 | Division Opp | 1-0-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Houston Texans | ATS RECORD | Indianapolis Colts | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 10-8-1 | All Games | 9-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 50-40-00 | Home Games | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 3-4-1 | When Underdog | 4-7-0 | No Edge |
| Division Opp | 4-2-0 | Division Opp | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 85-78-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 61-71-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Texans | O-U-P RECORD | Indianapolis Colts | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-0-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-0-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 1-0-0 | At Home | 1-0-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-11-0 | All Totals Last Season | 11-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 7-2-0 | OVER |
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