September 10, 2024 2:09 PM CDT

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs 09/05/2024

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Expect a close game with the Baltimore Ravens winning 44.0% of simulations, and the Kansas City Chiefs 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Baltimore Ravens commit fewer turnovers in 74.0% of simulations and they go on to win 55.0% when they take care of the ball. The Kansas City Chiefs wins 88.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Derrick Henry is averaging 64.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15.0% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Isaih Pacheco is averaging 60.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34.0% chance) then he helps his team win 75%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-1-0All Games 1-0-0Kansas City Chiefs
Road Games 00-10-00Home Games 1-0-0Kansas City Chiefs
When Underdog 0-1-0When Favored 1-0-0Kansas City Chiefs
Non-Division Opp 0-1-0Non-Division Opp 1-0-0Kansas City Chiefs
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0Opp Under .500 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-7-0All Games 14-7-0No Edge
Road Games 60-20-00Home Games 7-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 3-1-0When Favored 10-7-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 9-4-0Non-Division Opp 10-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 120-68-0Opp .500+ Record 111-60-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore RavensO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-0-0OVER
On Road 1-0-0At Home 1-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-10-1All Totals Last Season 6-15-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 3-5-0At Home Last Season 1-10-0UNDER

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