The Kansas City Chiefs are a solid favorite with a 66.0% chance to beat the Cincinnati Bengals. Patrick Mahomes is projected for 30.0 rushing yards and a 16.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33.0% of simulations where Cincinnati Bengals wins, Joe Burrow averages 2.94 TD passes vs 0.58 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 2.13 TDs to 0.94 interceptions. Samaje Perine averages 72.0 rushing yards and 0.28 rushing TDs when Cincinnati Bengals wins and 38.0 yards and 0.11 TDs in losses. The Kansas City Chiefs has a 76.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75.0% of the time.
| Kansas City Chiefs | | Cincinnati Bengals | | |
|---|
| All Games | 8-11-0 | All Games | 15-5-0 | |
| Road Games | 40-50-00 | Home Games | 7-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 7-10-0 | When Underdog | 4-1-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 11-2-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-0-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Kansas City Chiefs | | Cincinnati Bengals | | |
|---|
| All Games | 10-10-0 | All Games | 13-8-0 | |
| Road Games | 40-40-00 | Home Games | 6-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 10-10-0 | When Underdog | 8-2-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 6-8-0 | Non-Division Opp | 9-6-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 106-120-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 125-65-0 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs | | Cincinnati Bengals | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-11-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-12-1 | UNDER |
| On Road | 6-3-0 | At Home | 4-5-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 11-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 9-11-0 | |
| On Road Last Season | 6-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 7-3-0 | OVER |
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