Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 56.0% of simulations, and the Detroit Lions 44.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 69.0% of simulations and they go on to win 72.0% when they take care of the ball. The Detroit Lions wins 79.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trevor Lawrence is averaging 261.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35.0% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Jamaal Williams is averaging 73.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42.0% chance) then he helps his team win 64%.
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | Detroit Lions | | |
|---|
| All Games | 11-8-0 | All Games | 12-5-0 | |
| Road Games | 50-50-00 | Home Games | 7-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 9-5-0 | When Favored | 3-2-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-5-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | Detroit Lions | | |
|---|
| All Games | 5-12-0 | All Games | 11-6-0 | |
| Road Games | 20-60-00 | Home Games | 6-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 5-10-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-8-0 | Non-Division Opp | 7-4-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 31-76-0 | Opp Under .500 | 53-35-0 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | Detroit Lions | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-10-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-8-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 6-4-0 | At Home | 6-3-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 5-12-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-4-0 | UNDER |
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