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2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket Analysis: South Region Predictions

Virginia has a 16.56% chance to win the tournament, which is the highest probability of any team in the field, according to AccuScore's simulations.

As such, it shouldn't come any any surprise the Virginia Cavaliers have a 98% probability of advancing past their opening game. One of the best matchup of the first round is Saint Mary's and Villanova, with the Nova getting a 58% edge over Saint Mary's. The closest matchup in the region, however, is Ole Miss and Oklahoma with the Sooners projected to top Ole Miss 65-61 in a close matchup.

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On the other side of the region, Tennessee is a heavy favorite to advance alongside Cincy, with the Volunteers getting a 60-40 edge over Cincinnati to advance to the Sweet 16. Meanwhile, Purdue is expected to meet the winner of Nova and Saint Mary's. If Purdue meets Tennessee, the edge is 71% for Tennessee to advance to the second weekend, while at matchup against Villanova gives Purdue a 57% chance of making it to the Sweet 16.

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Wisconsin is expected to topple the Pac-12's Oregon and meet Kent State, after Kent State knocks out UC Irvine, the Big West Champs. Wisconsin is projected to upset Kent State according to AccuScore's simulations and advance to the Sweet 16, but that matchup is close, with the Badgers winning 54% of simulations in the head-to-head matchup.

Not surprisingly, Virginia is projected to comfortably move past Wisconsin and make the Elite 8, where Tennesee is projected to top Purdue in a close game, 56% to 44%.

Simulate your own bracket by clicking on the image below
NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2018 - South

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Be sure to check out all of AccuScore's Region-by-Region Bracketology Previews:
East Region
West Region
Midwest Region

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