NHL
Washington Capitals
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

6

Accuscore Probability

 
 
5.5
under
6.5
over
Money Line
WAS  52.1%
Side Value
WAS  1.2%
52.1%
47.9%
Game Projection
  • Washington Capitals
    2.8
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
    2.6
Projected High-Scorer
Washington Capitals
Tom Wilson - 0.67 PTS
Big Win
  • WAS
    14.8%
  • TOR
    11.5%
Close Win
  • WAS
    25.3%
  • TOR
    25.4%

Game Prediction

NHL: Washington Capitals vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
The Washington Capitals are slight 52.1 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Capitals are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.1% compared to the Capitals goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Logan Thompson 24, Anthony Stolarz (GK) 25 SHOTS: Alex Ovechkin 3.7, William Nylander 3.4 GOALS: Alex Ovechkin 0.51, Matthew Knies 0.6 PTS: Pierre-Luc Dubois has a 42% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Matthew Knies has a 53% chance of 1+PTs
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Washington Capitals

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Tom Wilson 0.46 0.21 0.67 2.3 32 -18%
Pierre-Luc Dubois 0.39 0.38 0.76 2.2 42 +35%
Alex Ovechkin 0.51 0.19 0.7 3.7 32 -9%
Dylan Strome 0.22 0.41 0.63 2.1 39 -20%
Jakob Chychrun 0.16 0.36 0.52 2.5 34 -28%
OTHER WAS 1.03 2.43 3.46 15.2 0 --
Logan Thompson 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 2.8 4 6.8 28

SKATER

Toronto Maple Leafs

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Matthew Knies 0.6 0.47 1.08 2.2 53 +30%
William Nylander 0.58 0.12 0.7 3.4 31 -39%
John Tavares 0.2 0.42 0.62 2.1 39 -24%
Matias Maccelli 0.31 0.12 0.43 2.4 23 -25%
OTHER TOR 0.94 2.42 3.37 15.9 0 --
Anthony Stolarz 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 2.6 3.5 6.2 26

SKATER

Trends

  • Washington Capitals
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Washington Capitals
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 15-23, 39% -712 Record at Home 18-20, 47% -673 Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs 2-0, 100% 127 VS Washington Capitals 0-2, 0% -200 Washington Capitals
vs Team Under .500 16-13, 55% 1 vs Team .500 or Better 19-32, 37% -1131 Washington Capitals
Record as Road Favorite 4-8, 33% -499 Record as Home Underdog 4-9, 31% -527 Washington Capitals
After 1 or More Days Off 35-30, 54% -3705 After 1 or More Days Off 26-37, 41% -3972 Washington Capitals
PAST 30 DAYS
Washington Capitals RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 3-4, 43% 31 Record at Home 2-2, 50% -18 Washington Capitals
VS Toronto Maple Leafs 0-0 No Games VS Washington Capitals 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team Under .500 1-0, 100% 64 vs Team .500 or Better 3-5, 38% -50 Washington Capitals
Record as Road Favorite 0-2, 0% -200 Record as Home Underdog 1-2, 33% -108 Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off 7-5, 58% -643 After 1 or More Days Off 3-7, 30% -489 Toronto Maple Leafs
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Washington Capitals RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 24-14, 63% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 28-11, 72% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 4-3, 57% Over HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 6-3, 67% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 16-9, 64% Over HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 13-15, 46% Over OVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home 35-25, 58% OVER Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road 42-19, 69% OVER OVER