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THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS FORECASTING

Game Details

MLB2
Toronto Blue Jays
0
Houston Astros
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

11

Accuscore Probability

 
 
10.5
under
11.5
over
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 16-24, 40.0% -1040 Houston Astros Home Games: 26-18, 59.0% + 620
OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 1-3, 25.0% -230 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-0, 100.0% + 600
Money Line
HOU  70.0%
Side Value
HOU  28.4%
30.0%
70.0%
Game Projection
  • Toronto Blue Jays
    3.8 Points
  • Houston Astros
    6.0 Points
Big Win
  • TOR
    10.0%
  • HOU
    33.6%
Close Win
  • TOR
    15.0%
  • HOU
    28.1%

Game Prediction

MLB2: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Astros starter Hunter Brown is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Jameson Taillon. Hunter Brown has a 56.00% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jameson Taillon has a 23.00% chance of a QS. if (Hunter Brown has a quality start the Astros has a 90.00% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 21.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 81.00%. In Jameson Taillon quality starts the Blue Jays win 61.00%. He has a 1.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61.00% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Lucas Spence who averaged 5.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 70.00% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 43.00% chance of winning.
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Toronto Blue Jays

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Nathan Lukes 4.3 0.5 1.3 0.4 0.4 1.3 0.09
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 4.1 0.5 1.4 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.15
Kazuma Okamoto 3.9 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.6 1.9 0.00
George Springer 4.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.3 0.11
Daulton Varsho 3.9 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.5 0.10
Ernie Clement 4.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.07
Yohendrick Pinango 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.2 0.24
Alejandro Kirk 3.5 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.07
Andres Gimenez 3.6 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.06

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Jameson Taillon 4.9 3.8 7.4 3.6 4.2 5.3 0.68 0.24 0.62
Relievers 2.7 2.2 4.3 2.1 2.2 3.3 0.34 0.06 0.09

Batting

Pitching

Houston Astros

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Jeremy Pena 4.9 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.4 0.15
Yordan Alvarez 4.4 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.5 1.3 0.29
Isaac Paredes 4.4 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.10
Jose Altuve 4.3 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.12
LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 4.1 0.0 0.00
Christian Walker 4.2 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.4 1.5 0.14
Yainer Diaz 4.2 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.1 0.08
Lucas Spence 4.2 0.8 4.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.00
Cam Smith 3.8 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 1.1 0.13

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Hunter Brown 8.2 3.7 9.0 3.6 3.0 10.1 0.85 0.70 0.29
Relievers 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.03 0.00 0.01

Batting

Pitching

Trends

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Houston Astros
Record on the Road 26-19, 0.0% 825 Record at Home 25-28, 0.0% -174 Toronto Blue Jays
VS Houston Astros 2-1, 0.0% 57 VS Toronto Blue Jays 1-2, 0.0% -85 Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team Under .500 35-23, 0.0% 1246 vs Team .500 or Better 28-33, 0.0% -204 Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog 17-11, 0.0% 910 Record As Home Favorite 14-17, 0.0% -612 Toronto Blue Jays
When Jameson Taillon Starts 6-6, 0.0% -81 When Hunter Brown Starts 0-2, 0.0% -200 Toronto Blue Jays
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Houston Astros
Record on the Road 3-1, 75.0% 233 Record at Home 1-5, 17.0% -412 Toronto Blue Jays
VS Houston Astros VS Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team Under .500 4-0, 100.0% 343 vs Team .500 or Better 1-8, 11.0% -712 Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog 2-0, 100.0% 239 Record As Home Favorite 1-4, 20.0% -312 Toronto Blue Jays
When Jameson Taillon Starts 1-0, 100.0% 83 When Hunter Brown Starts 0-1, 0.0% -100 Toronto Blue Jays
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Toronto Blue Jays Houston Astros
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 21-22, 0.0% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 31-20, 0.0% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-1, 0.0% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 4-2, 0.0% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 46-39, 0.0% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 36-41, 0.0% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS 6-6, 0.0% Over OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Brown STARTS 2-0, 100.0% Over