Liga MX

Over/Under

3.0

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
MONT  54.4%
Side Value
JUá  3.6%
22.4%
54.4%
23.2%
Game Projection
  • Juárez
    1.35
  • Monterrey
    2.14
Big Win
  • Juárez
    N/A
  • Monterrey
    N/A
Close Win
  • Juárez
    N/A
  • Monterrey
    N/A

Game Prediction

LIGA MX: Juárez @ Monterrey 08/16/2026
There is a 23.2% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Monterrey, at 54.4%, are heavy favorites to beat Juárez who have a 22.4% chance. In simulation wins, Juárez upsets Monterrey by averaging 9.8 shots and 4.3 shots on goal. They average 2.7 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.8 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Monterrey 2.1 to Juárez 1.4. The leading goal scorer for Juárez is Oscar Estupinan with a 45% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Juárez has a 37% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Monterrey is Lucas Ariel Ocampos with a 63% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Monterrey has a 68% chance to win.

Juárez

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Oscar Estupinan 2.35 0.92 0.61 44.8%
Ían Jairo Misael Torres Ramírez 1.69 0.61 0.3 25.78%
José Luis Rodríguez 1.63 0.62 0.17 15.58%
Jesús David Murillo Largacha 0.42 0.18 0.1 9.18%
Denzell Arturo García Bojorquez 1.31 0.29 0.1 9.28%
Francisco Javier Nevarez Pulgarin 0.46 0.11 0.08 7.62%
Rest of Team 0 0 0 --
Team Total 7.86 2.73 1.35 --

PLAYERS

Monterrey

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Lucas Ariel Ocampos 3.12 1.6 1.01 63.44%
Jesús Manuel Corona Ruíz 1.06 0.47 0.27 23.3%
Rodolfo Gilbert Pizarro Thomas 0.92 0.42 0.25 21.94%
Diego Martín Rossi Marachlian 1.58 0.46 0.15 13.46%
Ricardo Chávez Soto 1.15 0.33 0.14 12.42%
Gerardo Daniel Arteaga Zamora 0.61 0.23 0.07 6.94%
Rest of Team 2.03 0.75 0.75 --
Team Total 10.47 4.26 2.14 --

PLAYERS