LIGA MX: Juárez @ Monterrey 08/16/2026
There is a 23.2% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Monterrey, at 54.4%, are heavy favorites to beat Juárez who have a 22.4% chance. In simulation wins, Juárez upsets Monterrey by averaging 9.8 shots and 4.3 shots on goal. They average 2.7 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.8 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Monterrey 2.1 to Juárez 1.4. The leading goal scorer for Juárez is Oscar Estupinan with a 45% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Juárez has a 37% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Monterrey is Lucas Ariel Ocampos with a 63% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Monterrey has a 68% chance to win.