Accuscore: The Global Leader in Sports Forecasting - Profitable betting since 2004.

Game Details

EPL
Totals

Over/Under

3.75

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
LIVE  69.7%
Side Value
DRAW  5.5%
69.7%
9.6%
20.7%
Game Projection
  • Liverpool
    1.99
  • Leicester City
    0.58
Big Win
  • Liverpool
    N/A
  • Leicester City
    N/A
Close Win
  • Liverpool
    N/A
  • Leicester City
    N/A

Game Prediction

EPL: Liverpool @ Leicester City 04/20/2025
There is a 20.7% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Liverpool, at 69.7%, are heavy favorites to beat Leicester City who have just a 9.6% chance to win at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Liverpool 2.0 to Leicester City 0.6. In simulation wins, Leicester City upsets Liverpool by averaging 4.8 shots and 2.9 shots on goal. They average 1.8 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.3 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Liverpool is Mohamed Salah Ghaly with a 56% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Liverpool has a 86% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Leicester City is Patson Daka with a 18% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Leicester City has a 27% chance to win.

Liverpool

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Mohamed Salah Ghaly 2.81 1.79 0.82 55.84%
Diogo José Teixeira da Silva 1.4 0.71 0.34 28.68%
Cody Mathès Gakpo 1.3 0.66 0.29 25.28%
Dominik Szoboszlai 1.12 0.47 0.13 11.88%
Alexis Mac Allister 0.65 0.31 0.12 11.64%
Curtis Jones 0.59 0.38 0.11 9.96%
Rest of Team 1.8 0.61 0.61 --
Team Total 9.67 4.92 1.99 --

PLAYERS

Leicester City

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Patson Daka 1.05 0.48 0.2 18.14%
Jamie Vardy 0.81 0.48 0.16 15.16%
Onyinye Wilfred Ndidi 0.48 0.23 0.06 5.64%
Bilal El Khannouss 0.31 0.14 0.06 5.56%
James Justin 0.32 0.16 0.05 4.62%
Wout Faes 0.22 0.04 0.03 2.84%
Rest of Team 0.29 0.07 0.07 --
Team Total 3.46 1.59 0.58 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Liverpool
  • Leicester City
  • Liverpool
  • Leicester City
Liverpool Trends Leicester City Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 22-2-7 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 4-22-5
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 10-1-5 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 2-11-3
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 7 of 31 games 22.6% Win by 2 or More 0 of 31 games 0.0%
Lose by 2 or More 0 of 31 games 0.0% Lose by 2 or More 17 of 31 games 54.8%
When Favored W-L-D: 22-2-6 When Favored W-L-D: 0-0-1
Road Favorite W-L-D: 10-1-4 Home Favorite W-L-D: 0-0-1
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 24-4-10 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Road Last Season W-L-D: 9-3-7 Home Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 19 of 38 games 50.0% Win by 2 or More (LS) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 2 of 38 games 5.3% Lose by 2 or More (LS) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Over-Under O-U: 22-18 Over-Under O-U: 18-15
Road Over-Under O-U: 9-11 Home Over-Under O-U: 9-7
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 31 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 31 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 19 of 31 games 61.3% Total: 3 or More Goals 20 of 31 games 64.5%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 12 of 31 games 38.7% Total: 2 or Less Goals 11 of 31 games 35.5%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals No Games