EPL
Totals

Over/Under

3.25

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
BOUR  49.1%
Side Value
BOUR  3.8%
22.3%
49.1%
28.6%
Game Projection
  • Fulham
    0.91
  • AFC Bournemouth
    1.46
Big Win
  • Fulham
    N/A
  • AFC Bournemouth
    N/A
Close Win
  • Fulham
    N/A
  • AFC Bournemouth
    N/A

Game Prediction

EPL: Fulham @ AFC Bournemouth 04/14/2025
There is a 28.6% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw AFC Bournemouth, at 49.1%, are heavy favorites to beat Fulham who have a 22.3% chance. In simulation wins, Fulham upsets AFC Bournemouth by averaging 5.5 shots and 3.1 shots on goal. They average 1.9 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is AFC Bournemouth 1.5 to Fulham 0.9. The leading goal scorer for Fulham is Rodrigo Muniz Carvalho with a 26% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Fulham has a 43% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for AFC Bournemouth is Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa with a 42% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal AFC Bournemouth has a 71% chance to win.

Fulham

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Rodrigo Muniz Carvalho 1.46 0.68 0.29 25.72%
Alex Iwobi 0.7 0.42 0.21 19.12%
Ryan Sessegnon 0.47 0.28 0.17 15.74%
Andreas Hoelgebaum Pereira 0.58 0.23 0.08 7.26%
Joachim Andersen 0.33 0.18 0.06 5.74%
Timothy Castagne 0.19 0.09 0.03 2.96%
Rest of Team 0.77 0.21 0.21 --
Team Total 4.5 2.09 0.91 --

PLAYERS

AFC Bournemouth

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa 2.55 1.56 0.55 41.9%
Antoine Semenyo 3.25 1.78 0.53 41.46%
Dango Aboubacar Faissal Ouattara 1.03 0.38 0.11 10.8%
Alex Scott 0.69 0.28 0.09 8.24%
Milos Kerkez 0.61 0.27 0.08 7.48%
Lewis Cook 0.49 0.2 0.06 6.04%
Rest of Team 0.48 0.12 0.12 --
Team Total 9.09 4.59 1.46 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Fulham
  • AFC Bournemouth
  • Fulham
  • AFC Bournemouth
Fulham Trends AFC Bournemouth Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 13-9-9 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 12-10-9
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 6-5-4 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 6-6-3
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 2 of 31 games 6.5% Win by 2 or More 4 of 31 games 12.9%
Lose by 2 or More 3 of 31 games 9.7% Lose by 2 or More 2 of 31 games 6.5%
When Underdog W-L-D: 6-4-3 When Underdog W-L-D: 4-4-5
Road Underdog W-L-D: 4-4-2 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-2-1
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 13-17-8 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 13-16-9
Road Last Season W-L-D: 4-9-6 Home Last Season W-L-D: 7-6-6
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 8 of 38 games 21.1% Win by 2 or More (LS) 7 of 38 games 18.4%
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 11 of 38 games 28.9% Lose by 2 or More (LS) 11 of 38 games 28.9%
Over-Under O-U: 23-13 Over-Under O-U: 25-14
Road Over-Under O-U: 12-6 Home Over-Under O-U: 15-4
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 31 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 31 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 18 of 31 games 58.1% Total: 3 or More Goals 19 of 31 games 61.3%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 13 of 31 games 41.9% Total: 2 or Less Goals 12 of 31 games 38.7%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0%