BUNDESLIGA: Augsburg @ Freiburg 08/23/2025
There is a 30.4% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Freiburg, at 44.6%, are heavy favorites to beat Augsburg who have a 25.1% chance. In simulation wins, Augsburg upsets Freiburg by averaging 7.4 shots and 3.5 shots on goal. They average 1.9 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Freiburg 1.4 to Augsburg 0.9. The leading goal scorer for Augsburg is Alexis Claude Maurice with a 28% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Augsburg has a 47% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Freiburg is Ritsu Doan with a 32% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Freiburg has a 68% chance to win.