SERIE-A: Milan @ Salernitana 01/04/2023
There is a 25.2% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Milan, at 60.5%, are heavy favorites to beat Salernitana who have just a 14.3% chance to win at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Milan 1.7 to Salernitana 0.7. In simulation wins, Salernitana upsets Milan by averaging 5.3 shots and 2.9 shots on goal. They average 1.8 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Milan is Rafael Leão with a 36% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Milan has a 82% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Salernitana is Boulaye Dia with a 29% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Salernitana has a 31% chance to win.