NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning
+1
Colorado Avalanche
-1

Accuscore Probability

-10
10
-1.5
-0.5

Over/Under

6

Accuscore Probability

0
6
5.5
under
6.5
over
Money Line
COL  69.1%
Side Value
COL  3.6%
30.9%
69.1%
Game Projection
  • Tampa Bay Lightning
    3
  • Colorado Avalanche
    4.2
Projected High-Scorer
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nikita Kucherov - 1.35 PTS
Big Win
  • TB
    6.6%
  • COL
    28.9%
Close Win
  • TB
    17.6%
  • COL
    26.1%

Game Prediction

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche
The Colorado Avalanche are heavy 69.1 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Avalanche are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +9 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 36 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Lightning. The Avalanche goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: A. Vasilevskiy 32, Darcy Kuemper 24 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.2, Nathan MacKinnon 4.9 GOALS: Steven Stamkos 0.58, Gabriel Landeskog 0.67 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 65% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Cale Makar has a 63% chance of 1+PTs
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Tampa Bay Lightning

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Nikita Kucherov 0.51 0.83 1.35 3.2 65 AVG
Steven Stamkos 0.58 0.6 1.19 3.1 58 AVG
Victor Hedman 0.13 0.79 0.91 2.9 57 -6%
Ondrej Palat 0.37 0.43 0.8 1.9 44 +14%
Brayden Point 0.26 0.28 0.54 2.2 34 -36%
OTHER TB 1.1 1.58 2.68 13.6 0 --
A. Vasilevskiy 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 3 4.5 7.5 26.9

SKATER

Colorado Avalanche

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Nathan MacKinnon 0.66 0.54 1.21 4.9 58 -8%
Cale Makar 0.37 0.78 1.15 3.2 63 -3%
Gabriel Landeskog 0.67 0.5 1.17 2.9 56 AVG
Mikko Rantanen 0.33 0.8 1.13 2.9 61 -10%
Valeri Nichushkin 0.55 0.32 0.87 3.2 44 +6%
OTHER COL 1.56 3.03 4.59 18.9 0 --
Darcy Kuemper 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 4.3 5.9 10.2 36

SKATER

Trends

  • Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Colorado Avalanche
  • Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Colorado Avalanche
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD Colorado Avalanche RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 28-24, 54% -366 Record at Home 39-11, 78% 807 Colorado Avalanche
VS Colorado Avalanche 1-5, 17% -398 VS Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1, 83% 329 Colorado Avalanche
vs Team .500 or Better 32-31, 51% -503 vs Team .500 or Better 40-20, 67% 689 Colorado Avalanche
Record As Road Underdog 8-11, 42% -203 Record As Home Favorite 39-11, 78% 807 Colorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off 52-36, 59% -5454 After 1 or More Days Off 60-25, 71% -5442 Colorado Avalanche
PAST 30 DAYS
Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD Colorado Avalanche RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 1-4, 20% -313 Record at Home 4-1, 80% 161 Colorado Avalanche
VS Colorado Avalanche 1-3, 25% -198 VS Tampa Bay Lightning 3-1, 75% 141 Colorado Avalanche
vs Team .500 or Better 1-3, 25% -198 vs Team .500 or Better 4-2, 67% 107 Colorado Avalanche
Record As Road Underdog 0-2, 0% -200 Record As Home Favorite 4-1, 80% 161 Colorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off 5-5, 50% -665 After 1 or More Days Off 8-2, 80% -791 Tampa Bay Lightning
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD Colorado Avalanche RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 28-23, 55% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 28-21, 57% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-2, 60% Over HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 2-3, 40% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 18-18, 50% Over HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 16-15, 52% Over UNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home 41-36, 53% OVER Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road 41-31, 57% OVER OVER
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