NHL
Colorado Avalanche
-1
Tampa Bay Lightning
+1

Accuscore Probability

-10
10
0.5
1.5

Over/Under

6

Accuscore Probability

0
19
5.5
under
6.5
over
Money Line
COL  57.8%
Side Value
COL  6.1%
57.8%
42.2%
Game Projection
  • Colorado Avalanche
    3.8
  • Tampa Bay Lightning
    3.3
Projected High-Scorer
Colorado Avalanche
Nathan MacKinnon - 1.1 PTS
Big Win
  • COL
    22.6%
  • TB
    12.3%
Close Win
  • COL
    22.5%
  • TB
    20.7%

Game Prediction

NHL: Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
The Colorado Avalanche are solid 57.8 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Avalanche are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 33 shots on goal vs 29 shots for the Lightning. The Avalanche goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.6% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Darcy Kuemper 26, A. Vasilevskiy 30 SHOTS: Nathan MacKinnon 4.8, Steven Stamkos 3.2 GOALS: Gabriel Landeskog 0.65, Steven Stamkos 0.65 PTS: Mikko Rantanen has a 60% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 69% chance of 1+PTs
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Colorado Avalanche

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Nathan MacKinnon 0.62 0.48 1.1 4.8 54 -16%
Cale Makar 0.36 0.73 1.09 3.1 59 -9%
Gabriel Landeskog 0.65 0.48 1.13 2.8 56 -5%
Mikko Rantanen 0.32 0.75 1.07 2.8 60 -15%
Valeri Nichushkin 0.51 0.31 0.81 3.2 42 AVG
OTHER COL 1.35 2.53 3.87 16.7 0 --
Darcy Kuemper 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 3.9 5.3 9.1 33.4

SKATER

Tampa Bay Lightning

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Nikita Kucherov 0.56 0.89 1.45 3.2 69 +6%
Steven Stamkos 0.65 0.62 1.27 3.2 59 +9%
Victor Hedman 0.15 0.79 0.94 2.9 58 AVG
Ondrej Palat 0.4 0.46 0.86 2 47 +22%
Brayden Point 0.3 0.3 0.6 2.2 35 -29%
OTHER TB 1.25 1.98 3.22 15.6 0 --
A. Vasilevskiy 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 3.5 5.1 8.4 29.1

SKATER

Trends

  • Colorado Avalanche
  • Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Colorado Avalanche
  • Tampa Bay Lightning
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche RECORD Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 31-18, 63% 221 Record at Home 36-14, 72% 636 Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1, 80% 231 VS Colorado Avalanche 1-4, 20% -298 Colorado Avalanche
vs Team .500 or Better 39-20, 66% 591 vs Team .500 or Better 32-30, 52% -403 Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite 27-15, 64% 115 Record as Home Underdog 2-0, 100% 199 Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off 59-25, 70% -5344 After 1 or More Days Off 52-35, 60% -5354 Colorado Avalanche
PAST 30 DAYS
Colorado Avalanche RECORD Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 4-1, 80% 199 Record at Home 5-0, 100% 365 Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1, 67% 43 VS Colorado Avalanche 1-2, 33% -98 Colorado Avalanche
vs Team .500 or Better 2-1, 67% 43 vs Team .500 or Better 5-4, 56% -31 Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite 4-1, 80% 199 Record as Home Underdog 1-0, 100% 102 Colorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off 8-2, 80% -760 After 1 or More Days Off 5-4, 56% -565 Tampa Bay Lightning
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Colorado Avalanche RECORD Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 28-20, 58% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 28-23, 55% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-2, 60% Over HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-2, 60% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 16-15, 52% Over HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 18-18, 50% Over N/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home 41-30, 58% OVER Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road 41-35, 54% OVER OVER
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