NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning
+1
Toronto Maple Leafs
-1

Accuscore Probability

-1.5
-0.5

Over/Under

6.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
6
under
7
over
Money Line
TB  54.8%
Side Value
TB  10.7%
54.8%
45.2%
Game Projection
  • Tampa Bay Lightning
    3.8
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
    3.5
Projected High-Scorer
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nikita Kucherov - 1.73 PTS
Big Win
  • TB
    19.8%
  • TOR
    14.4%
Close Win
  • TB
    22.9%
  • TOR
    19.8%

Game Prediction

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 54.8 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 29 shots on goal vs 31 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.7% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: A. Vasilevskiy 28, Jack Campbell 25 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.3, Auston Matthews 4.6 GOALS: Nikita Kucherov 0.73, Auston Matthews 0.8 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 75% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 64% chance of 1+PTs
View More

Tampa Bay Lightning

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Nikita Kucherov 0.73 1 1.73 3.3 75 +21%
Steven Stamkos 0.7 0.89 1.59 3.1 72 +37%
Victor Hedman 0.22 0.99 1.21 3.3 67 +22%
Ondrej Palat 0.32 0.5 0.82 1.8 48 +30%
Brayden Point 0.35 0.31 0.66 2.5 37 -26%
OTHER TB 1.46 2.1 3.56 14.9 0 --
A. Vasilevskiy 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 3.8 5.8 9.6 28.9

SKATER

Toronto Maple Leafs

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Auston Matthews 0.8 0.68 1.48 4.6 64 +8%
William Nylander 0.61 0.53 1.14 3.1 55 +15%
Mitch Marner 0.5 0.66 1.15 3.3 58 -11%
John Tavares 0.38 0.63 1 2.6 55 +5%
Morgan Rielly 0.16 0.59 0.74 2.5 48 -9%
OTHER TOR 1.06 2.35 3.41 14.9 0 --
Jack Campbell 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 3.6 5.5 8.9 31

SKATER

Trends

  • Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 24-20, 55% -424 Record at Home 34-10, 77% 1010 Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs 4-6, 40% -231 VS Tampa Bay Lightning 6-4, 60% 154 Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better 22-26, 46% -923 vs Team .500 or Better 29-17, 63% 672 Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog 5-9, 36% -374 Record As Home Favorite 34-10, 77% 1010 Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off 43-31, 58% -5063 After 1 or More Days Off 46-23, 67% -4427 Toronto Maple Leafs
PAST 30 DAYS
Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 2-4, 33% -234 Record at Home 8-0, 100% 512 Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs 3-4, 43% -156 VS Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3, 57% 58 Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better 5-4, 56% -1 vs Team .500 or Better 6-4, 60% 81 Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog 1-3, 25% -188 Record As Home Favorite 8-0, 100% 512 Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off 8-5, 62% -960 After 1 or More Days Off 10-4, 71% -848 Toronto Maple Leafs
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Tampa Bay Lightning RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 25-18, 58% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 31-10, 76% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 5-1, 83% Over HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 5-1, 83% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 18-18, 50% Over HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 13-15, 46% Over N/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home 37-26, 59% OVER Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road 42-18, 70% OVER OVER
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio