NCAAF: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Iowa State Cyclones
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oklahoma State winning 47% of simulations, and Iowa State 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oklahoma State commits fewer turnovers in 42% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Iowa State wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alan Bowman is averaging 87 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Jirehl Brock is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IAST -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 36.5
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