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Game Details

NCAAF
Texas Longhorns
-17
Baylor Bears
+17

Accuscore Probability

16.5
17.5

Over/Under

48.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
48
under
49
over
Money Line
TEX  75.0%
Side Value
BAY  9.2%
75.0%
24.8%
Game Projection
  • Texas Longhorns
    33.8 Points
  • Baylor Bears
    22.7 Points
Big Win
  • TEX
    52.7%
  • BAY
    10.8%
Close Win
  • TEX
    11.1%
  • BAY
    7.7%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears
Texas is a heavy favorite winning 75% of simulations over Baylor. Maalik Murphy is averaging 221 passing yards and 2.02 TDs per simulation and Jonathon Brooks is projected for 130 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25% of simulations where Baylor wins, Blake Shapen averages 1.27 TD passes vs 0.72 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.61 TDs to 0.98 interceptions. Dominic Richardson averages 71 rushing yards and 0.44 rushing TDs when Baylor wins and 66 yards and 0.26 TDs in losses. Texas has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BAY +15 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
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Texas Longhorns

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Maalik Murphy 15.2 220.8 2.0 0.5

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Jonathon Brooks 20.7 130.0 6.3 0.9
Jaydon Blue 5.1 26.3 5.2 0.2
Maalik Murphy 3.1 15.1 4.9 0.2

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Xavier Worthy 4.8 67.1 14.0 0.6
Ja'Tavion Sanders 3.7 64.0 17.3 0.6
Jordan Whittington 3.7 51.0 13.8 0.4
Jonathon Brooks 1.9 25.6 13.5 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
TEX 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.9

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Baylor Bears

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Blake Shapen 17.0 198.1 0.8 0.9

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Dominic Richardson 15.1 67.2 4.4 0.3
Richard Reese 15.1 56.6 3.8 0.4
Blake Shapen 2.3 5.8 2.6 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Hal Presley 3.5 45.3 12.9 0.2
Ketron Jackson Jr. 3.1 39.5 12.7 0.2
Monaray Baldwin 3.1 35.0 11.3 0.1
Jake Roberts 3.2 34.8 10.9 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
BAY 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.5

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Texas ATS RECORD Baylor ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 1/2/2000 All Games 1/1/2000 Baylor
Road & Neutral Field 1-0-0 Home Games 1/1/2000 Texas
When Favored 0-2-0 When Underdog 1-0-0 Baylor
Conference Opp 0-0-0 Conference Opp 0-0-0 No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Texas ATS RECORD Baylor ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 8/5/2000 All Games 7/5/2000 Texas
Road & Neutral Field 3/3/2000 Home Games 3/2/2000 Baylor
When Favored 7/4/2000 When Underdog 5/2/2000 Baylor
Conference Opp 5/4/2000 Conference Opp 5/5/2000 Texas
Opp Under .500 1/2/2000 Opp .500+ Record 5/4/2000 Baylor
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Texas O-U-P RECORD Baylor O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/2/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 UNDER
On Road 1-0-0 At Home 1/1/2000 OVER
All Totals Last Season 5/8/2000 All Totals Last Season 7/5/2000 UNDER
On Road Last Season 4/2/2000 At Home Last Season 2/3/2000 OVER
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