NCAAF: Army Black Knights vs. Massachusetts Minutemen
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Army winning 43% of simulations, and Massachusetts 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Army commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Massachusetts wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Cameron Carroll is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. Jerome Ford is averaging 141 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UMASS +20.5 --- Over/Under line is 45