MLB
Washington Nationals
++1.0
Los Angeles Dodgers
-1

Accuscore Probability

-1.5
-0.5

Over/Under

7.0

Accuscore Probability

 
 
6.5
under
7.5
over
Money Line
Side Value
41.0%
59.0%
Game Projection
  • Washington Nationals
    3.9 Points
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
    4.8 Points
Big Win
  • WAS
    12.8%
  • LAD
    22.1%
Close Win
  • WAS
    22.3%
  • LAD
    28.6%

Game Prediction

MLB: Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 60-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 44-39 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers' starter Walker Buehler is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Stephen Strasburg. Walker Buehler has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Stephen Strasburg has a 39% chance of a QS. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Dodgers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 62%. In Stephen Strasburg quality starts the Nationals win 58%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Cody Bellinger who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Anthony Rendon who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 55% chance of winning.

Washington Nationals

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Trea Turner 4.4 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 1.5 0.14
Adam Eaton 4.1 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.2 0.10
Anthony Rendon 3.9 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.5 1.0 0.22
Juan Soto 3.7 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.5 0.18
Asdrubal Cabrera 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.3 0.15
Ryan Zimmerman 3.8 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.16
Victor Robles 3.8 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.6 0.10
Yan Gomes 3.6 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.6 0.12
Stephen Strasburg 3.6 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.4 0.05

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Stephen Strasburg 5.7 2.9 5.5 2.8 2.0 10.1 1.11 0.37 0.47
Relievers 2.4 1.9 2.9 1.8 1.3 3.4 0.68 0.04 0.12

Batting

Pitching

Los Angeles Dodgers

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
A.J. Pollock 4.2 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.5 0.18
Enrique Hernandez 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.6 0.15
Justin Turner 3.9 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 1.1 0.22
Cody Bellinger 3.6 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.6 1.3 0.29
Corey Seager 3.8 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.14
Will D. Smith 3.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.8 0.32
Chris Taylor 3.6 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.7 0.13
Joc Pederson 3.4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.3 0.25
Walker Buehler 3.4 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 2.0 0.08

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Walker Buehler 5.9 2.7 5.7 2.6 2.0 9.0 0.82 0.44 0.36
Relievers 2.6 1.3 2.6 1.2 1.1 3.4 0.41 0.15 0.05

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Washington Nationals
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Washington Nationals
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals RECORD Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 44-39, 53% -68 Record at Home 60-23, 72% 655 Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers 5-6, 45% -50 VS Washington Nationals 6-5, 55% -108 Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better 51-50, 50% -623 vs Team .500 or Better 47-34, 58% -331 Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog 18-19, 49% 208 Record As Home Favorite 60-23, 72% 655 Los Angeles Dodgers
When Stephen Strasburg Starts 21-13, 62% 202 When Walker Buehler Starts 21-10, 68% 61 Washington Nationals
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals RECORD Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 6-5, 55% -31 Record at Home 4-3, 57% -109 Washington Nationals
VS Los Angeles Dodgers 2-2, 50% 11 VS Washington Nationals 2-2, 50% -41 Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better 9-5, 64% 255 vs Team .500 or Better 7-5, 58% -59 Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog 1-2, 33% -61 Record As Home Favorite 4-3, 57% -109 Washington Nationals
When Stephen Strasburg Starts 4-2, 67% 85 When Walker Buehler Starts 5-1, 83% 141 Los Angeles Dodgers
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Washington Nationals RECORD Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 37-41, 47% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 38-40, 49% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-7, 30% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 4-3, 57% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 33-45, 42% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 39-46, 46% Over UNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Strasburg STARTS 17-16, 52% Over OVER-UNDER IN Walker Buehler STARTS 16-13, 55% Over N/A