MLB: Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 60-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 44-39 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers' starter Walker Buehler is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Stephen Strasburg. Walker Buehler has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Stephen Strasburg has a 39% chance of a QS. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Dodgers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 62%. In Stephen Strasburg quality starts the Nationals win 58%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Cody Bellinger who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Anthony Rendon who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 55% chance of winning.