EPL: Liverpool @ Everton 02/12/2025
There is a 19.7% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Liverpool, at 70.7%, are heavy favorites to beat Everton who have just a 9.6% chance to win at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Liverpool 2.1 to Everton 0.7. In simulation wins, Everton upsets Liverpool by averaging 7.2 shots and 3.4 shots on goal. They average 1.8 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Liverpool is Mohamed Salah Ghaly with a 58% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Liverpool has a 86% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Everton is Jake O'Brien with a 13% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Everton has a 27% chance to win.