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Game Details

EPL
Totals

Over/Under

3.25

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
MANU  42.4%
Side Value
SOUT  9.8%
42.4%
30.7%
26.9%
Game Projection
  • Manchester United
    1.49
  • Southampton
    1.25
Big Win
  • Manchester United
    N/A
  • Southampton
    N/A
Close Win
  • Manchester United
    N/A
  • Southampton
    N/A

Game Prediction

EPL: Manchester United @ Southampton 09/14/2024
There is a 27.0% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester United, at 42.4%, are solid favorites to beat Southampton who have a 30.7% chance at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester United 1.5 to Southampton 1.3. In simulation wins, Southampton upsets Manchester United by averaging 9.7 shots and 5.5 shots on goal. They average 2.3 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Manchester United is Bruno Miguel Borges Fernandes with a 38% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Manchester United has a 64% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Southampton is William Anthony Patrick Smallbone with a 24% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Southampton has a 50% chance to win.

Manchester United

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Bruno Miguel Borges Fernandes 2.33 1.43 0.47 37.68%
Marcus Rashford 1.19 0.63 0.27 23.62%
Kobbie Boateng Mainoo 0.41 0.25 0.2 18.34%
Amad Diallo Traoré 0.96 0.46 0.15 13.64%
Carlos Henrique Casimiro 1.4 0.32 0.11 10.32%
Harry Maguire 0.64 0.12 0.1 9.2%
Rest of Team 1.24 0.62 0.62 --
Team Total 8.19 3.83 1.49 --

PLAYERS

Southampton

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
William Anthony Patrick Smallbone 1.47 0.77 0.27 24.04%
Yukinari Sugawara 1.77 0.86 0.25 22.18%
Adam Armstrong 1.57 0.95 0.25 21.82%
Joe Aribo 0.72 0.65 0.16 14.8%
Kyle Walker-Peters 0.77 0.43 0.1 9.82%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 0.94 0.33 0.1 9.76%
Rest of Team 1.37 0.42 0.42 --
Team Total 8.61 4.41 1.25 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Manchester United
  • Southampton
  • Manchester United
  • Southampton
Manchester United Trends Southampton Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 1-2-0 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 0-3-0
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-1-0 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-1-0
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 0 of 3 games 0.0% Win by 2 or More 0 of 3 games 0.0%
Lose by 2 or More 1 of 3 games 33.3% Lose by 2 or More 1 of 3 games 33.3%
When Favored W-L-D: 1-0-0 When Favored W-L-D: 0-1-0
Road Favorite W-L-D: 0-0-0 Home Favorite W-L-D: 0-1-0
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 18-14-6 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Road Last Season W-L-D: 8-8-3 Home Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 5 of 38 games 13.2% Win by 2 or More (LS) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 8 of 38 games 21.1% Lose by 2 or More (LS) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Over-Under O-U: 3-1 Over-Under O-U: 3-2
Road Over-Under O-U: 2-1 Home Over-Under O-U: 2-1
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 3 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 3 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 2 of 3 games 66.7% Total: 3 or More Goals 1 of 3 games 33.3%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 1 of 3 games 33.3% Total: 2 or Less Goals 2 of 3 games 66.7%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals No Games
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