June 21, 2022 9:18 AM CDT

NHL: Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 6/22/2022

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The Colorado Avalanche are solid 57.8 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Avalanche are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 33 shots on goal vs 29 shots for the Lightning. The Avalanche goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.6% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Darcy Kuemper 26, A. Vasilevskiy 30 SHOTS: Nathan MacKinnon 4.8, Steven Stamkos 3.2 GOALS: Gabriel Landeskog 0.65, Steven Stamkos 0.65 PTS: Mikko Rantanen has a 60% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 69% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Avalanche

Colorado AvalancheRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road31-18, 63% 221Record at Home36-14, 72% 636Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning4-1, 80% 231VS Colorado Avalanche1-4, 20% -298Colorado Avalanche
vs Team .500 or Better39-20, 66% 591vs Team .500 or Better32-30, 52% -403Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite27-15, 64% 115Record as Home Underdog2-0, 100% 199Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off59-25, 70% -5344After 1 or More Days Off52-35, 60% -5354Colorado Avalanche

PAST 30 DAYS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-1, 80% 199Record at Home5-0, 100% 365Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning2-1, 67% 43VS Colorado Avalanche1-2, 33% -98Colorado Avalanche
vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 43vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% -31Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite4-1, 80% 199Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 102Colorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off8-2, 80% -760After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -565Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD28-20, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-23, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-15, 52% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home41-30, 58% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road41-35, 54% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 27-22, 55% -1348 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 27-23, 54% +437 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 1-4, 20% -400 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-3, 40% -156

MONEY LINE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 31-18, 63% +275 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 34-16, 68% 372 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 4-1, 80% +199 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-1, 80% +163

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 28-17, 62% + 848 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 129 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 1-4, 20% -309

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