May 13, 2022 6:04 AM CDT

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 5/14/2022

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 54.8 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 29 shots on goal vs 31 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.7% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: A. Vasilevskiy 28, Jack Campbell 25 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.3, Auston Matthews 4.6 GOALS: Nikita Kucherov 0.73, Auston Matthews 0.8 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 75% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 64% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-20, 55% -424Record at Home34-10, 77% 1010Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs4-6, 40% -231VS Tampa Bay Lightning6-4, 60% 154Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better22-26, 46% -923vs Team .500 or Better29-17, 63% 672Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog5-9, 36% -374Record As Home Favorite34-10, 77% 1010Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off43-31, 58% -5063After 1 or More Days Off46-23, 67% -4427Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-4, 33% -234Record at Home8-0, 100% 512Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs3-4, 43% -156VS Tampa Bay Lightning4-3, 57% 58Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% -1vs Team .500 or Better6-4, 60% 81Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog1-3, 25% -188Record As Home Favorite8-0, 100% 512Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -960After 1 or More Days Off10-4, 71% -848Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-18, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-10, 76% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-1, 83% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-1, 83% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home37-26, 59% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road42-18, 70% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 24-20, 55% -361 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 27-17, 61% +933 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-4, 33% -182 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-5, 38% -331

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 23-21, 52% -671 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 27-17, 61% +-271 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-5, 17% -446 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-4, 50% -209

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 24-13, 65% + 884 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 19-19, 50% -171 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 5-1, 83% + 355 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 164

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