The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 80.6 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +13 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 37 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Canadiens. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.7% compared to the Canadiens goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jake Allen 33, A. Vasilevskiy 22 SHOTS: Michael Matheson 2.4, Nikita Kucherov 3.4 GOALS: Josh Anderson 0.35, Brayden Point 0.74 PTS: Nick Suzuki has a 44% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 68% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning
| Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-22, 35% -146 | Record at Home | 24-11, 69% 142 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Montreal Canadiens | 2-0, 100% 76 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-26, 30% -404 | vs Team Under .500 | 25-11, 69% 70 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-22, 35% -146 | Record As Home Favorite | 24-11, 69% 142 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 21-36, 37% -916 | After 1 or More Days Off | 36-19, 65% -3948 | Montreal Canadiens |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-5, 44% 216 | Record at Home | 3-5, 38% -418 | Montreal Canadiens |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | VS Montreal Canadiens | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-2, 50% 50 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-3, 50% -182 | Montreal Canadiens |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-5, 44% 216 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-5, 38% -418 | Montreal Canadiens |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 3-8, 27% -308 | After 1 or More Days Off | 5-7, 42% -943 | Montreal Canadiens |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-19, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-12, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-19, 46% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | UNDER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 27-27, 50% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 32-20, 62% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 16-18, 47% -65 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 25-10, 71% +1309 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-6, 33% -286 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 8-0, 100% +817
MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 22-12, 65% -226 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 24-11, 69% 161 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 4-5, 44% -358 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-5, 38% -418
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 14-8, 64% + 474 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 16-13, 55% + 156 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-3, 40% -118 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 255
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