March 15, 2019 7:08 AM CDT

NHL: Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 3/16/2019

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 55.5 percent favorites over the Washington Capitals. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +0 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 31 shots for the Capitals. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.7% compared to the Capitals goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Braden Holtby 27, Andrey Vasilevskiy 28 SHOTS: Alex Ovechkin 4.2, Nikita Kucherov 3.3 GOALS: Alex Ovechkin 0.69, Nikita Kucherov 0.56 PTS: Evgeny Kuznetsov has a 57% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 64% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Washington CapitalsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-14, 61% 492Record at Home29-8, 78% 554Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better16-21, 43% -623vs Team .500 or Better22-11, 67% 262Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog8-7, 53% 245Record As Home Favorite29-8, 78% 554Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off38-21, 64% -3120After 1 or More Days Off48-14, 77% -3845Washington Capitals

PAST 30 DAYS

Washington CapitalsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-2, 80% 512Record at Home7-1, 88% 149Washington Capitals
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-1, 83% 431vs Team .500 or Better3-2, 60% 7Washington Capitals
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 272Record As Home Favorite7-1, 88% 149Washington Capitals
After 1 or More Days Off10-2, 83% -432After 1 or More Days Off11-1, 92% -416Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington CapitalsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-15, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-11, 65% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON24-12, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-21, 43% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home27-20, 57% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road27-19, 59% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Washington Capitals Road Games: 17-19, 47% -968 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 24-13, 65% +387 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -327 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-4, 50% -62

MONEY LINE - Washington Capitals Road Games: 20-16, 56% -119 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 29-8, 78% 554 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -344 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 7-1, 88% +149

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Washington Capitals Road Games: 19-14, 58% + 329 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 13-15, 46% -317 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 146 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-4, 33% -218

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