March 15, 2019 7:08 AM CDT

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators 3/16/2019

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are heavy 76.3 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 34 shots on goal vs 30 shots for the Senators. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 92.2% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Frederik Andersen 28, Anders Nilsson 30 SHOTS: John Tavares 3.3, Thomas Chabot 2.3 GOALS: Auston Matthews 0.65, Bobby Ryan 0.41 PTS: John Tavares has a 59% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Thomas Chabot has a 38% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-13, 62% 516Record at Home15-20, 43% -39Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Ottawa Senators1-1, 50% -69VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-1, 50% 122Ottawa Senators
vs Team Under .50022-10, 69% 263vs Team .500 or Better12-30, 29% -877Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite12-9, 57% -83Record as Home Underdog12-17, 41% 13Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off37-23, 62% -2945After 1 or More Days Off20-37, 35% -1111Ottawa Senators

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-4, 43% -107Record at Home1-4, 20% -228Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-1, 83% 203vs Team .500 or Better1-8, 11% -628Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite1-3, 25% -235Record as Home Underdog1-4, 20% -228Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off7-6, 54% -437After 1 or More Days Off2-11, 15% -704Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-13, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-12, 66% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON22-19, 54% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON24-20, 55% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home23-20, 53% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road36-16, 69% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 21-13, 62% -439 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 20-15, 57% +661 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-4, 43% -172

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 19-15, 56% -21 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 21-14, 60% 113 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-4, 43% -107 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 4-1, 80% +105

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 15-13, 54% + 65 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 13-10, 57% + 183 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-4, 43% -127 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 2-1, 67% + 82

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