February 14, 2020 7:17 AM CST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators 2/15/2020

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are heavy 70.2 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 35 shots on goal vs 30 shots for the Senators. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.1% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Frederik Andersen 27, Craig Anderson 31 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 3.9, Brady Tkachuk 3.6 GOALS: Auston Matthews 0.81, Anthony Duclair 0.42 PTS: Mitchell Marner has a 63% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Connor Brown has a 41% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-13, 54% -116Record at Home14-15, 48% 281Ottawa Senators
VS Ottawa Senators2-0, 100% 65VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-2, 0% -200Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team Under .50018-7, 72% 283vs Team .500 or Better10-24, 29% -966Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite10-8, 56% -148Record as Home Underdog11-12, 48% 311Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off28-19, 60% -3100After 1 or More Days Off17-30, 36% -1345Ottawa Senators

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-2, 50% 12Record at Home2-5, 29% -244Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Ottawa Senators1-0, 100% 34VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-1, 0% -100Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team Under .5003-2, 60% -72vs Team Under .5003-4, 43% 18Ottawa Senators
Record as Road Favorite0-2, 0% -200Record as Home Underdog2-3, 40% -44Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off5-5, 50% -416After 1 or More Days Off2-7, 22% -444Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-8, 69% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-11, 59% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON22-19, 54% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON24-20, 55% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home24-10, 71% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road21-16, 57% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 13-15, 46% -826 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 17-12, 59% +315 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-1, 75% +238 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 6-1, 86% +466

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 15-13, 54% -116 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 15-14, 52% +-316 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-2, 50% +12 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 4-3, 57% -40

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 16-8, 67% + 656 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 8-11, 42% -372 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-1, 75% + 173 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 73

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