The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 57.5 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +1 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Penguins. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.5% compared to the Penguins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: A. Vasilevskiy 25, Tristan Jarry 26 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.7, Sidney Crosby 3.4 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.57, Bryan Rust 0.49 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 70% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Sidney Crosby has a 60% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Pittsburgh Penguins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-10, 47% -93 | Record at Home | 12-10, 55% 63 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| VS Pittsburgh Penguins | 1-0, 100% 80 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-1, 0% -100 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| vs Team Under .500 | 12-7, 63% 165 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-13, 28% -670 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-5, 38% -257 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-7, 46% -23 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 18-14, 56% -2175 | After 1 or More Days Off | 12-23, 34% -2332 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Pittsburgh Penguins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-3, 50% -25 | Record at Home | 4-1, 80% 297 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| VS Pittsburgh Penguins | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-1, 83% 243 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-6, 40% -164 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -37 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-0, 100% 243 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 6-3, 67% -696 | After 1 or More Days Off | 5-7, 42% -667 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Pittsburgh Penguins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-10, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-10, 52% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-4, 33% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 19-12, 61% Over | UNDER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 15-16, 48% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 19-13, 59% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 9-10, 47% -494 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 13-9, 59% +149 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-3, 50% -188 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 3-2, 60% +105
MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 8-11, 42% -360 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 15-7, 68% 369 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-3, 50% -25 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 2-3, 40% -146
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 11-8, 58% + 201 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 10-12, 45% -290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 164 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 2-3, 40% -118
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