August 31, 2012 12:50 PM UTC

Hawaii vs USC 9/1/2012

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USC is a heavy favorite winning 96% of simulations over Hawaii. Matt Barkley is averaging 432 passing yards and 4.8 TDs per simulation and Curtis McNeal is projected for 112 rushing yards and a 65% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 4% of simulations where Hawaii wins, Sean Schroeder averages 2.49 TD passes vs 1.49 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.92 TDs to 2.51 interceptions. Joey Iosefa averages 60 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing TDs when Hawaii wins and 43 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. USC has a 87% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USC -42 --- Over/Under line is 63.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

HawaiiATS RECORDUSCATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-0-0All Games0-0-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-0-0Non-Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

HawaiiATS RECORDUSCATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-9-0All Games7-5-0USC
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Home Games3-4-0USC
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored5-3-0USC
Non-Conference Opp2-7-0Non-Conference Opp2-1-0USC
Opp .500+ Record1-3-0Opp Under .5001-1-0USC

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

HawaiiO-U-P RECORDUSCO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-0-0No Edge
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0No Edge
All Totals 20108-4-0All Totals 20106-6-0OVER
On Road 20104-2-0At Home 20103-4-0OVER

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