September 12, 2019 4:14 PM CDT

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons 9/15/2019

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Expect a close game with the Philadelphia Eagles winning 45% of simulations, and the Atlanta Falcons 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Philadelphia Eagles commit fewer turnovers in 76% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. The Atlanta Falcons wins 85% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Carson Wentz is averaging 264 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (47% chance) then he helps his team win 47%. Matt Ryan is averaging 322 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (46% chance) then he helps his team win 61%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games0-1-0No Edge
Road Games0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Favored0-1-0When Underdog0-1-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp0-0-0Non-Division Opp0-1-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-9-0All Games6-10-0Philadelphia Eagles
Road Games6-4-0Home Games3-5-0Philadelphia Eagles
When Favored6-7-0When Underdog3-5-0Philadelphia Eagles
Non-Division Opp6-6-0Non-Division Opp2-8-0Philadelphia Eagles
Opp Under .5002-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Atlanta Falcons

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia EaglesO-U-P RECORDAtlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0No Edge
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season8-10-0All Totals Last Season8-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season5-5-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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