September 12, 2019 4:14 PM CDT

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams 9/15/2019

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Expect a close game with the New Orleans Saints winning 47% of simulations, and the Los Angeles Rams 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New Orleans Saints commit fewer turnovers in 25% of simulations and they go on to win 81% when they take care of the ball. The Los Angeles Rams wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Drew Brees is averaging 295 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45% chance) then he helps his team win 51%. Jared Goff is averaging 252 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 56%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDLos Angeles RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games1-0-0Los Angeles Rams
Road Games0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored1-0-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp0-1-0Non-Division Opp1-0-0Los Angeles Rams
Opp .500+ Record0-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDLos Angeles RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-8-0All Games8-11-0New Orleans Saints
Road Games6-2-0Home Games4-6-0New Orleans Saints
When Underdog2-0-0When Favored7-9-0New Orleans Saints
Non-Division Opp7-5-0Non-Division Opp5-8-0New Orleans Saints
Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Opp .500+ Record1-7-0New Orleans Saints

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New Orleans SaintsO-U-P RECORDLos Angeles RamsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0OVER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season8-10-0All Totals Last Season8-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-6-0At Home Last Season6-4-0UNDER

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