September 12, 2019 4:14 PM CDT

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins 9/15/2019

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The New England Patriots are a heavy favorite winning 90% of simulations over the Miami Dolphins. Tom Brady is averaging 291 passing yards and 2.61 TDs per simulation and Sony Michel is projected for 67 rushing yards and a 53% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Ryan Fitzpatrick averages 1.86 TD passes vs 0.99 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.14 TDs to 2 interceptions. Kenyan Drake averages 44 rushing yards and 0.42 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 25 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots have a 72% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-0-0All Games0-1-0New England Patriots
Road Games0-0-0Home Games0-1-0No Edge
When Favored1-0-0When Underdog0-1-0New England Patriots
Division Opp0-0-0Division Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games12-7-0All Games7-9-0New England Patriots
Road Games5-5-0Home Games5-3-0Miami Dolphins
When Favored11-7-0When Underdog4-7-0New England Patriots
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp3-3-0New England Patriots
Opp Under .5003-1-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-0New England Patriots

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDMiami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0No Edge
On Road0-0-0At Home1-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-12-0All Totals Last Season8-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-6-0At Home Last Season5-3-0No Edge

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