September 12, 2019 4:14 PM CDT

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans 9/15/2019

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Expect a close game with the Indianapolis Colts winning 48% of simulations, and the Tennessee Titans 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Indianapolis Colts commit fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 76% when they take care of the ball. The Tennessee Titans wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Marlon Mack is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Derrick Henry is averaging 73 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-0-1All Games1-0-0No Edge
Road Games0-0-1Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-1When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Division Opp0-0-0Division Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record0-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-8-1All Games8-8-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games6-4-0Home Games4-4-0Indianapolis Colts
When Underdog4-4-0When Favored1-4-0Indianapolis Colts
Division Opp4-2-1Division Opp3-3-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record4-2-0Indianapolis Colts

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Indianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDTennessee TitansO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0OVER
On Road1-0-0At Home0-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season8-10-0All Totals Last Season8-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-6-0At Home Last Season5-3-0No Edge

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